原文发表于美国时间2023-9-13
消费者价格指数（CPI）上个月从长达一年的休眠状态中强劲复苏，周三公布的通货膨胀数据出人预料的飙升，令经济学家们和金融市场感到惊讶。
8月通胀飙升超市场预期
- CPI年化通胀率从7月的3.2%飙升至8月的3.7%，超出经济学家们预期的3.6%增幅。
- 按月环比的角度来看，美国CPI增幅加快，8月上涨了0.6%，与7月份的0.2%按月环比涨幅形成鲜明对比，虽然符合市场预期。这是自2022年6月以来 CPI月涨幅最高的一次。
- 排除能源和食品后，核心消费者物价指数显示出不同的情况。核心消费者物价指数按年同比增长率从7月的4.7%下降至8月的4.3%，符合经济学家们的预期。
- 核心消费者物价指数按月环比涨幅为0.3%，高于7月的0.2%，也高于市场预期的0.2%。
市场反应、对美联储的揣摩
美国劳工统计局发布的8月消费者物价指数数据超市场预期，引发了人们对美联储未来的举措的担忧。
在CPI数据发布之前，市场已经认为美联储在9月20日举行的议息会议上不加息的可能性为93%。另外，美联储在11月份议息会议上保持利率不变的可能性为58%。
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这篇文章已被翻译成中文。原英文作者Benzinga。如英文版本和中文版本之间有任何不一致，以英文版本为准。该文章中的分析仅为提供信息，不是也不应该被视为推销或招揽购买任何证券。文章中讨论的一般市场活动、行业或领域趋势、或其它基于广泛的经济或政治条件的内容，不应被解释为研究结果或投资建议。讨论中提及包括的特定证券、商品、货币、或其它产品均不构成IB推荐购买，出售或持有此类投资的建议。本材料不是也不意图针对个别客户的特定财务条件、投资目标或要求。在根据本材料采取行动之前，您应该考虑是否适合您的具体情况，并在必要时寻求专业建议。
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