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中新网12月11日电分析北高市长选举结果,美国亚洲问题专家、斯坦福大学胡佛研究所资深研究员马若孟表示,选举结果显示岛内选民倾向并未有重大改变。从投票率与得票率来看,选民未出现太过极端支持绿营或蓝营的表现,基本上“仍希望维持现状”。
据香港中通社报道,马若孟指出,他观察此次台湾北高市长选举结果,并未看到特别独特或改变之处。之前陈水扁“国务机要费”案及马英九特别费案,都并未严重影响地方选举。
北高市长选举结果,蓝绿阵营得票差距不算大。他认为,这个结果显现,台湾选民在政党倾向方面,并未极端支持蓝营或支持绿营;延伸来说,选民不急于谈“统独”,期望除了维持政党现状之外,也倾向在两岸政策上的维持现状。
斯坦福大学民主发展与法治研究中心研究员俞振华表示,这次北高市长选举结果,维持北蓝南绿的版图。民进党的危机感在选举后期发酵。他认为,这份危机感或许是来自倘若败选后,各领袖对内部竞争的高度不确定性,所以“无论如何要挺过这一关”。
至于马英九的光环是否消退?他指出,这个说法见仁见智,然而,可以较确定的是,马英九日后要在南部县市胜出,光靠个人魅力或许还不足,可能还需要扩大他的政治结盟。
从选民部份分析,俞振华强调,如果把台北与高雄当成南北指针城市,选举结果显示政党版图并未有变化。此外,选举结果亦表明,小党在一对一的选举中没有空间,选民会自动操作弃保。这样的政党态势结果更会加速小党泡沫化,尤其从2007年开始,连“立委”选举都采“单一选区制”。
(责任编辑:赵健) | |
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今日运程如何?财运、事业运、桃花运,给你详细道来!!! |
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月亮之上 |
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秋天不回来 |
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求佛 |
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千里之外 |
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香水有毒 |
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吉祥三宝 |
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天竺少女 |
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一个人哭 |
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退后 |
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断了的弦 |
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还是朋友 |
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水晶蜻蜓 |
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唱给你的歌 |
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